Uranium resources, scenarios, nuclear and energy dynamics

Abstract : A dynamic simulation of coupled supply and demand of energy, resources and nuclear reactors is done with the global model Prospective Outlook for Long Term Energy Supply (POLES) over this century. In this model, both electricity demand and uranium supply are not independent of the cost of all base load electricity suppliers. Uranium consuming Thermal Neutron Reactors and future generation, free from the uranium market once started, breeder reactors are only one part of the market and are in a global competition, not limited to the other nuclear generation. In this paper we present a new model of the impact of uranium scarcity on the development of nuclear reactors. Many scenarios rely on the subjective definition of ultimate uranium resources. We suggest that when uranium will mainly be extracted together with other resources, its cost should not be simply a function of cumulated uranium mined but also of mine yearly outputs. We describe the sensitivities of our model to breeder reactor physical performance indicators. Used fuels can be seen as a liability or as a source of usable material and a scarce resource limiting fast reactor startups in fast development in India or China. We present the impact of synergetic strategies where countries with opposite strategies share used fuels.
Type de document :
Communication dans un congrès
Global 2015 : 21st International Conference & Exhibition: "Nuclear Fuel Cycle For a Low-Carbon Future", Sep 2015, Paris, France. GLOBAL 2015 Proceedings pp.72-78, 2015
Liste complète des métadonnées

Littérature citée [8 références]  Voir  Masquer  Télécharger

http://hal.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/hal-01241438
Contributeur : Danièle Revel <>
Soumis le : jeudi 10 décembre 2015 - 15:01:20
Dernière modification le : jeudi 11 janvier 2018 - 06:26:19
Document(s) archivé(s) le : samedi 29 avril 2017 - 11:32:28

Fichier

SMI-PC_comm_collSFEN2015.pdf
Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-01241438, version 1

Citation

A. Bidaud, Silvana Mima, S Gabriel, A Monnet, G Mathonnière, et al.. Uranium resources, scenarios, nuclear and energy dynamics. Global 2015 : 21st International Conference & Exhibition: "Nuclear Fuel Cycle For a Low-Carbon Future", Sep 2015, Paris, France. GLOBAL 2015 Proceedings pp.72-78, 2015. 〈hal-01241438〉

Partager

Métriques

Consultations de la notice

345

Téléchargements de fichiers

582